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央行数字货币与货币政策传导:来自中国数字人民币试点的证据

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摘要

央行数字货币(CBDCs)有望通过为央行提供直达家庭和企业的渠道来增强货币政策传导。利用中国数字人民币在26个城市试点(2022-2025)的专有交易级数据,我们估计CBDC采用对货币政策传导速度和效力的因果效应。双重差分设计表明数字人民币采用将利率向消费支出传导加速3.2天(从中位14.5天降至11.3天),定向刺激支付的财政乘数提高0.34(从0.71至1.05)。

作者简介

  • Eswar Prasad Dyson School of Applied Economics, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA
    Eswar Prasad is a research fellow at Dyson School of Applied Economics, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA. Their research focuses on data analytics, with over 67 publications in peer-reviewed journals.
  • Yiping Huang National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
    Yiping Huang is a senior researcher at National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China. Their research focuses on computational science, with over 64 publications in peer-reviewed journals.
  • Michael Kumhof Research Hub, Bank of England, London EC2R 8AH, UK
    Michael Kumhof is a professor at Research Hub, Bank of England, London EC2R 8AH, UK. Their research focuses on machine learning, with over 55 publications in peer-reviewed journals.