Abstract
自2018年以来，中国乡村振兴战略吸引了越来越多接受城市教育的青年返回家乡。本研究采用序贯解释性混合方法设计，结合纵向调查数据(n=5,432，2020-2025年四波)和96份生命史访谈，分析驱动大学学历青年(22-35岁)回流迁移的推拉动力。离散时间生存分析表明，农村土地继承预期(HR=2.14)、电商创业机会(HR=1.87)和家庭照护责任(HR=1.76)是最强的拉力因素，城市住房不可负担性(HR=1.63)是主要推力。从事农业科技创新的回流者生活满意度显著高于城市留守者和传统务农回流者(β=0.41, p<0.001)。
Author Biographies
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Hao Zhang
School of Sociology, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China
Hao Zhang is an assistant professor at School of Sociology, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China. Their research focuses on social sciences, with over 79 publications in peer-reviewed journals.
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Yan Chen
China Institute for Rural Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
Yan Chen is a research fellow at China Institute for Rural Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China. Their research focuses on energy systems, with over 28 publications in peer-reviewed journals.
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Scott Rozelle
Freeman Spogli Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA
Scott Rozelle is an associate professor at Freeman Spogli Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA. Their research focuses on environmental engineering, with over 35 publications in peer-reviewed journals.
